Whiff rate is cold across 124 recent pitches versus a non-overlapping baseline.
San Diego Padres · bats R
Casey Mize.
Season production, recent form, handedness splits, and role context. Descriptive only—no live recommendation is shown here.
MLB.com profile ↗What matters now
PRO DECISION CONTEXT LOCKED
Public stats remain descriptive. Live probability, price, Action Window, and Decision state are available only after the Pro access check.
Completed performance and hot form remain supporting evidence; neither creates a Posterior Decision on its own.
00 / Public almanac
Season stats and recent form · descriptive, not predictive.
2026 pitching line
Run prevention and workload.
IP
109.2
2026 innings
ERA
3.45
earned runs
WHIP
1.10
walks plus hits
FIP
3.42
fielding independent
K/9
7.9
strikeouts per nine
BB/9
2.2
walks per nine
K / BB
96 / 27
strikeouts / walks
HR
11
home runs allowed
BF
446
batters faced
Savant and arsenal
Expected contact, splits, and pitch shape.
xERA
00.2 / Career lines
Season-by-season record · descriptive, not predictive.
Pitching · 6 seasons
MLB regular season
| Season | Tm | G | GS | IP | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SD | 5 | 5 | 23.0 | 6.26 | 1.52 | 4.30 | 3.13 |
| 2026 | DET | 16 |
00.3 / Last 12
Current performance across roughly four series · descriptive, not predictive.
Pitching · last 12 games
| Date | Opp | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28 | @ TB | 5.0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 8/22 | vs MIN | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
00.4 / Statcast card
Season percentile ranks vs. the qualified MLB pool · descriptive, not predictive.
Statcast season card · 2026 · Pitching
Rarely walks.
Posterior percentiles vs. qualified MLB pool · Statcast window Apr 24 – Aug 30 · context only
Expected run prevention
xERA
74
3.48
Contact allowed
Barrel %
62
7.9%
Hard-Hit %
42
22.8%
Avg. Exit Velo
00.5 / Statcast form
Nightly Statcast trends · descriptive, not predictive.
Statcast form · Whiff and command
Whiffs and command are trending cold.
Posterior Statcast graph · through 2026-08-30 · context only
Whiff rate
5.6%
Baseline 17.1% · Δ -11.6%
Zone rate
51.6%
Baseline 50.8% · Δ +0.8%
Average velocity (mph)
88.5 mph
Baseline 90.1 mph · Δ -1.6 mph
Recent window
124
vs 596 baseline pitches
COLD · recent vs non-overlapping baselineAs of Aug 31, 2026
Statcast form — descriptive fan context from the point-in-time Statcast graph, not a betting recommendation. It does not move any Posterior probability.
01 / Pro decision context
Live prediction and price fields remain locked.
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02 / Clubhouse
Public Clubhouse questions about this player.
Roster fitSD2027 outlook
Plausible fitFree agentNeed: Moderate
A rostered option at rotation has a conditional or expiring path — the incumbent could depart.
Free agent after the 2026 season
From the sourced potential free-agent class · methodology roster-fit-v1
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