Tuesday, June 2, 2026.

Posterior Research Desk

Today's desk is visible, but live actionable entries are not public. Posterior shows model probabilities, market odds, movement, confidence tiers, closing-line tracking, Brier score, calibration, and public grading inside Pro. This public surface exposes only safe slate-level counts and historical proof.

Tonight

Awaiting

next publish window

Resolved win rate

48.9%

622 resolved

Brier

0.257

lower is sharper

Equity

103.4u

7-day Δ +3.2u

Tonight's board — awaiting entries.

Subscribe to reveal →

No subscriber entries are on the board yet. The model publishes across four scheduled windows daily — 11:00, 12:15, 15:00, 18:30 ET — as lineups post. Reload after the next publish window for tonight's entries.

Premium signal locked

Pro reveals player, market, book, line, model probability, edge, fair price, confidence tier, and risk reference.

Subscribe to reveal

Market almanac — subscriber-only rows.

Subscribe — $29/mo

When	Entry	Market	Model	Book	Edge	Status
--	Player hidden	Market hidden	--	••••	--	Subscriber-only entry
--	Player hidden	Market hidden	--	••••	--	Subscriber-only entry
--	Player hidden	Market hidden	--	••••	--	Subscriber-only entry
--	Player hidden	Market hidden	--	••••	--	Subscriber-only entry
--	Player hidden	Market hidden	--	••••	--	Subscriber-only entry

Premium signal locked

Pro unlocks the full player-prop almanac, no-vig consensus, cross-book candidates, and movement context.

Unlock markets

Live calibration →

Predicted vs. actual probability per bucket, refreshed daily.

Morning recap →

Yesterday's slate, graded. Filed by 5:30 AM ET.

Methodology →

Six architectural pillars. 42 signals. No black box.