Ranked Board
Qualified decision research without a quota.
Posterior · daily MLB intelligence desk
MLB betting intelligence with public receipts.
Posterior checks every MLB game against real sportsbook prices and publishes a BET only when the math clears its bar. WAIT and PASS stay visible. Every official call is graded on a public ledger—for bettors who want fewer, better plays.
16 games on the MLB schedule · updated Jul 28, 7:13 AM EDT
Today at a glancePublic snapshot · updated Jul 28, 7:13 AM EDT
MLB schedule
16
16 games today
Official BETs
Monitoring
No completed canonical board yet
Markets assessed
—
Shown only from a completed immutable lock
Season record
63.6%
1,469–841 W–L · 2,310 resolved · live forward ledger through Jul 27, 2026
One system · three clear doors
Start where Posterior is useful to you.
For bettors
See today’s decisions.
BET, WAIT, and PASS states with exact market context—and one qualified live pick public when available.
Open today’s board →For MLB fans
Follow your club and players.
Team desks, player almanacs, standings, form, Statcast context, and source-linked news in one daily baseball home.
Choose your club →For developers
Build on filed evidence.
Inspect the public data contract, try the sandbox, and add versioned Builder API access when you need machine delivery.
Explore the API →Moderegular season
MLB slate16 games scheduled
Decision BoardBoard monitoring
UpdatedJul 28, 7:13 AM EDT
Your baseball, organized
One desk for what matters now.
Move between players, your club, current baseball context, and source-linked reporting without leaving the homepage.
Featured public almanacs
Start with the players shaping the season.
Scroll horizontally to browse featured players. Each card opens a player almanac.
LAD · DH · SPShohei OhtaniOpen almanac →
NYY · OFAaron JudgeOpen almanac →
KC · SSBobby Witt Jr.Open almanac →
PIT · SPPaul SkenesOpen almanac →Public evidence
Every recommendation leaves a receipt.
Posterior records the market, price, probability, sportsbook, and publication time before the event, then publicly settles the same record afterward.
Resolved2,310
Hit rate63.6%
Current public ledger policy · sharp-data-v2
audited season record plus forward live
Data through Jul 27
Eligible market, executable quote, freshness, and publication time are fixed before the event.
The same immutable decision is graded after the game. Wins, losses, and voids remain visible.
The public ledger keeps the original decision identity and its settlement attached.
The daily loop
Baseball doesn’t stop at first pitch.
Review receipts, the public record, and the Wire context that matters today.
Open the morning desk →Move through Today’s Board, Ranked Board, Market Explorer, and player or team desks.
Open today’s desk →Scores and neutral game context stay readable while pending recommendations remain gated.
Open live baseball →Audit the public ledger and personal results after the event is complete.
Review settled records →Product depth
Four tools. One decision ledger.
Qualified official opportunities ranked without a forced quota.
Preview the board →Supported markets explained as BET, WAIT, PASS, or unmodeled states.
Explore markets →Public player profiles and descriptive baseball context.
Open player almanacs →Schedules, roster context, favorite-club organization, and protected Pro intelligence.
Open team desks →Posterior Wire
Context that changes the desk.
Source-linked reporting stays separate from the official recommendation contract.
Injury · ARI · Sports · Jul 28, 3:00 AM EDTD-backs Rule 5 pick Sean Harney sidelined all of 2026 with undisclosed injury
Open the full Wire →Right-hander Sean Harney, acquired from St. Louis in the AAA Rule 5 draft, has yet to throw a pitch for Arizona's organization due to an ongoing injury.
Trade · WSH · Blogs · Jul 28, 2:13 AM EDTNationals and Red Sox Complete Curtis Mead–Connelly Early SwapInjury · STL · Sports · Jul 28, 2:06 AM EDTLangeliers Out for Season With Torn MeniscusPosterior Pro
$29 monthly
The complete daily MLB decision and intelligence desk—without a forced pick count or promise of profit. Includes a 7-day, no-questions refund and cancellation any time.
- Full qualified Decision Board
- Exact sportsbook and quote provenance
- Ranked Board and Market Explorer
- Team and player personalization
- Recaps, live context, and public receipts
Building with Posterior?Builder API · $99/month add-on
Structured access to Posterior’s supported probabilities, immutable decisions, market states, public evidence and player context.
Requires Posterior Pro · $128/month combined before applicable tax.
Explore the Builder API →01 / Today
Live slate context
Today's live intelligence.
The public homepage shows the state of today's desk without treating an off-day, an unpublished board, a qualifying shortfall, and a data failure as the same thing.
Today's board is still being monitored.
A completed immutable board archive is not available yet. Posterior will show a public pin only after the normal pricing, freshness, eligibility, lock, and settlement gates are complete.
Homepage checked Jul 28, 7:13 AM EDT
02 / Public proof
One public recommendation
A public pick, when one earns it.
One pinned, locked recommendation is the only live individual pick this route can show. It remains the same public record through settlement; the homepage never selects a second row.
No public recommendation is available right now.
The public pin is released only when its existing publish policy is satisfied. A missing pin is not substituted with a recent player, a speculative price, or a blurred Pro row.
03 / Pro board
Protected at the server boundary
The complete daily decision desk.
Pro is where qualified entries, exact sportsbook context, market comparison, and ranked decision research live. The public preview explains the information gap without shipping any protected values.
What Pro adds
Qualified research
Player, market, and side render only after Pro access.
Quote discipline
Exact book, price, and quote freshness stay protected.
Decision evidence
Probability, uncertainty, and executable EV are not sent here.
The safe aggregate is not currently published, so this page does not estimate how much protected research exists.
Posterior Pro
The full board, not a forced slate.
Every official recommendation still has to clear the same quote, freshness, lineup, lock, and settlement contract. If it does not, the desk shows WAIT, PASS, or no row.
04 / Selectivity
What Posterior rejected
The point is not more action. It's less weak action.
PASS and WAIT are part of the product, not empty space. A qualified recommendation is official only after the full supported-market publication contract passes.
WAIT
—Monitored entries that did not clear the complete publish standard at lock.
PASS
—Archived decisions that Posterior declined rather than turning into artificial action.
UNMODELED
Not separately publishedThe immutable lock archive cannot honestly represent the whole observed-provider universe, so this homepage does not invent a count.
Supported market coverage and an official recommendation are separate. Research, shadow, and experimental work do not become official just because an output exists.
05 / Personal
Follow the baseball you care about
Your club. Your players. Your MLB desk.
Start with one club, then move through public schedule context, player almanacs, source-linked Wire, and the protected decision desk where access applies.
06 / Receipts
Public accountability
Every recommendation leaves a receipt.
A recommendation is not a postgame story. It is locked before the event, attached to its available evidence, and settled publicly after the game.
From price to settlement
Locked before the game. Preserved after it.
A public record is only useful when wins, losses, voids, and the original locked identity remain auditable.
- 01
Lock
An official row needs an eligible market, executable quote, freshness, and a pregame lock.
- 02
Receipt
The exact decision identity and timestamp remain tied to the same public record.
- 03
Settlement
Results grade after the event. Losses and voids stay visible alongside wins.
07 / Record
Canonical public performance
The record is evidence, not a promise.
The homepage uses the same current-policy public season record as the public accuracy route. It does not choose a more favourable legacy, replay, or marketing number.
Resolved
2,310
current-policy settled rows
Season record
1,469–841
settled wins–losses
Hit rate
63.6%
resolved public record
Brier
0.220
calibration score · lower is better
Contract
2026 season record
- Scope:
- resolved public official decisions
- Policy:
- Current public ledger policy · sharp-data-v2
- Evidence:
- audited season record plus forward live
- Window:
- Jan 1, 2026 – Jul 27, 2026
08 / Loop
A durable daily habit
Baseball doesn't stop at the first pitch.
Posterior is designed as a daily desk: context before the slate, a disciplined board when it exists, and receipts after the games finish.
- 01
Morning recap
Read yesterday’s settlement and the public record.
- 02
Today’s board
See whether the slate is published, qualified, or still monitored.
- 03
Team and player desk
Keep schedules, roster context, and player almanacs close.
- 04
Market updates
Watch source-backed changes without treating every update as a pick.
- 05
Live intelligence
Follow live games through the public scoreboard and game context.
- 06
Settle
Return to the receipts and ledger after the event.
09 / Product
More than a picks page
A complete desk for the baseball day.
Posterior’s value is a connected reading experience, not a stream of unsupported “best bets.”
Market Explorer
Supported market context with explicit BET, WAIT, PASS, or unmodeled states where available.
Team desks
Public team context, schedules, roster changes, and favorite-club flow.
Player almanacs
Player profiles and descriptive baseball context.
Morning Recap
A daily view of what settled and what changed.
Live game intelligence
Scores and neutral game context alongside protected decisions.
10 / Wire
Context that changes the board
The relevant story, before it becomes noise.
Posterior Wire is source-linked MLB context. It is not a generic headline stream, and a story is not treated as an official recommendation by itself.
Injury · Arizona Diamondbacks
D-backs Rule 5 pick Sean Harney sidelined all of 2026 with undisclosed injury
Right-hander Sean Harney, acquired from St. Louis in the AAA Rule 5 draft, has yet to throw a pitch for Arizona's organization due to an ongoing injury.
Source: Sports ↗
Trade · Washington Nationals
Nationals and Red Sox Complete Curtis Mead–Connelly Early Swap
Washington and Boston exchanged players in a deal involving Curtis Mead and Connelly Early, per podcast discussion.
Source: Blogs ↗
Injury · St. Louis Cardinals
Langeliers Out for Season With Torn Meniscus
The A's catcher suffered a torn right meniscus running the bases and will miss the remainder of the 2025 season after surgery.
Source: Sports ↗11 / Pro
The complete daily MLB desk
One subscription for the whole board.
Public proof stays public. Pro adds the protected live decision desk, ranked research, supported-market context, and personalized baseball workflow.
Live almanac
$29
per monthThe full live desk at publish time: the uncapped qualified board, ranked Top 25, complete Market Explorer, and curated parlays.
- →Every qualified BET; no forced slate count
- →Top 25 with explicit WAIT/PASS shortfalls
- →All supported quotes in Market Explorer
- →Model and market probability, uncertainty, executable EV, book, price, and quote age
- →Conservative, Balanced, and Upside parlays when every leg qualifies
- →Personal team and player desk
No artificial scarcity
A board that is willing to say no.
No fake countdowns, no hidden rows in the page source, and no promise of profit. Just the live desk when it has something that qualifies.
Go Pro — $29/month
7-day refund · no questions asked · cancel anytime
12 / Builder
Builder API is a separate machine-access path.
Structured access to Posterior’s supported probabilities, immutable decisions, market states, public evidence and player context. Builder is a $99 monthly add-on sold on top of an active $29 monthly Pro subscription, so the combined current monthly list price is $128 before applicable tax. Schema and public sandbox details stay available before an account upgrades.
§ On the name
pos·te·ri·or
/pɒˈstɪərɪə/ · adjective & noun
- 1Statistics. the distribution of a belief once the evidence is in — what Bayes' theorem turns a prior into. — this is the one we mean.
- 2Anatomy, informal. the hindquarters; the seat; the rump. — yes. we are aware.
“We named it for the math. The second reading is a happy accident we've chosen to wear with dignity — cheek included.”
