§ Affiliate disclosure + independence

No sportsbook affiliates. Ticket referrals are disclosed separately.

Posterior is an independent baseball market almanac. We hold no sportsbook affiliate relationships, accept no paid sportsbook placements, and do not participate in sportsbook revenue share. Posterior Tickets is a separate ticket-discovery product. If a ticket provider or affiliate network authorizes Posterior, some outbound ticket links may be affiliate links and Posterior may earn a commission after a qualifying provider-reported purchase.


§ 01

How Posterior may earn revenue

Posterior's established revenue comes from paid subscriptions: the Pro tier ($29/month) and the Builder API add-on ($99/month per sport for active Pro subscribers). Posterior Tickets is designed to add ticket-affiliate commission only where Posterior has been accepted into an authorized program. A provider button does not itself prove that a relationship, purchase, or commission exists.

§ 02

Ticket links and checkout

Ticket links take you away from Posterior to a third-party provider. That provider, not Posterior, is the seller and controls live inventory, the final checkout price, mandatory fees, delivery, cancellations, refunds, and support. Posterior does not add a ticket fee or increase the provider's price. A displayed all-in price is labelled as such only when the authorized provider data includes the mandatory fees known to Posterior; verify the final total at checkout because inventory and fees can change.

§ 03

What the attribution states mean

  • CLICK means a visitor selected a provider offer on Posterior.
  • REDIRECT means Posterior sent the visitor to the provider. A click or redirect is not a sale.
  • REPORTED_CONVERSION means the provider or authorized affiliate network reported a purchase tied to Posterior's attribution. It is provider-reported, not yet confirmed commission revenue.
  • CONFIRMED_COMMISSION means the provider or network confirmed the commission amount.
  • REVERSED means a previously reported purchase or commission was cancelled, refunded, rejected, or otherwise reversed.

§ 04

What Posterior does not do

  • Run sportsbook affiliate links anywhere on the site.
  • Place outbound “sign up at Operator X” buttons on signal cards, market boards, or recap pages.
  • Receive bonuses, boosted-odds inducements, or revenue share from any sportsbook.
  • White-label operator comparisons or promote operator-of-the-month rankings.
  • Sell user data to sportsbook operators, advertisers, or data brokers.
  • Accept payment in exchange for changing a signal grade, model probability, or published outcome.

§ 05

Why this matters for the analysis

  • The model. Probabilities are derived from data — no operator economics enter the inputs or weights.
  • The grade. STRONG / LEAN / WATCH / SKIP is computed from the gap against no-vig consensus, never from an operator partnership.
  • The methodology. Inputs, pillars, and signal counts are documented at /methodology.
  • The published record. Wins and losses are graded the same way every night, with no operator-favored carve-outs.

§ 06

Polymarket — read-only price source

Posterior reads Polymarket as a publicly-available price source on MLB game-level moneyline markets (see /mlb/live). The data comes from Polymarket's public Gamma REST API.

  • Posterior is not a Polymarket affiliate, partner, or referrer.
  • Posterior does not custody USDC, hold Polymarket positions, or route trades there.
  • Posterior does not use Polymarket's trading SDK (@polymarket/clob-client); we use only the public read-only REST endpoints.
  • Polymarket prices appear in our published surfaces as an independent second opinion alongside sportsbook consensus. They do not enter the model's grading math.

§ 07

If this ever changes

If Posterior's business model ever evolves to include a sportsbook relationship — affiliate, sponsorship, or otherwise — this page will be rewritten in full, the change dated, and every affected surface labelled. Authorized ticket-provider relationships and any changes to our posture toward another market venue (including Polymarket) will likewise be disclosed explicitly rather than buried.

§ 08

Contact

Questions about Posterior's independence posture may be sent to [email protected].


Posterior is an analytics publication. Not a sportsbook. Outputs are estimates only, not guarantees. Last reviewed: August 8, 2026.