Today
Built for the current slate
The daily surface starts at /today: slate status, lock timing, public proof, and subscriber entry access.
MLB picks today
MLB Picks Today,
with the losses still attached.
Posterior publishes a daily MLB model board built from price, probability, and settlement discipline. The live entries unlock inside Pro; the public side shows the board count, resolved record, methodology, and delayed ledger so the picks can be checked after the fact.
Scope
Daily
The board follows each MLB slate and refreshes around lock windows.
Record
Public
Settled rows are released with wins, losses, voids, market gap, and model version.
Policy
Gated
Only model-qualified STRONG and LEAN rows become public-facing picks.
01 / Intent
Markets
Player props and game lines
Posterior evaluates batter props, pitcher strikeouts, game moneylines, totals, NRFI-style markets, and qualified parlay combinations when the data supports them.
Receipt
Every resolved row is part of the story
The public record is delayed, but not curated. Losing days remain in the ledger beside the wins.
02 / How it works
Step 01
Price the baseball event
The model estimates the outcome probability using player, team, matchup, market, and context signals.
Step 02
Compare against the market
The model probability is compared to no-vig consensus and available book prices to detect whether an edge exists.
Step 03
Apply quality gates
Weak, stale, unsupported, or unconfirmed rows are held back. More coverage is useful only when the pick still has evidence.
Step 04
Resolve in public
After settlement, rows flow into the public record so the claim can be checked against actual outcomes.
Public proof
Good picks are allowed to be quiet.
No forced slate coverage. If a market fails the edge, price, or quality gates, it stays out of the public pick set.
03 / Questions
Are these free MLB picks?
Posterior keeps a public preview and a delayed resolved ledger open. Live actionable details are subscriber-only.
Do you publish picks for every game?
No. A game can have no pick if the model does not find a qualified edge at a playable price.
Where can I check the results?
The delayed public ledger is available at https://posterior.pro/data and includes wins, losses, voids, prices, and model context.
Posterior is baseball data, not a sportsbook. The public receipt lives at /data, the methodology lives at /methodology, and today's board starts at /today.