What matters now

PRO DECISION CONTEXT LOCKED

Public stats remain descriptive. Live probability, price, Action Window, and Decision state are available only after the Pro access check.

What changed

xwOBA is cold across 23 recent batted balls versus a non-overlapping baseline.

Why it matters

Completed performance and hot form remain supporting evidence; neither creates a Posterior Decision on its own.

Player dataAug 9, 9:00 PM EDTPlayer profile update · not quote freshness

Market contextProtectedNo stale quote is presented as live

Inspect public receipts →

00 / Public almanac

Season stats and recent form · descriptive, not predictive.

2026 season line

Current production.

PA 2026

192

current season

2026 hits

XBH

6 2B · 0 3B · 5 HR

RBI + R

24 RBI · 18 R

BB + SB

13 BB · 1 SB

2026 BA

.199

.201 xBA

Hit composition35 H

1B 242B 63B 0HR 5

2025 baseline

Prior context.

PA 2025

131

00.2 / Career lines

Season-by-season record · descriptive, not predictive.

Batting · 3 seasons

MLB regular season

Season	Tm	G	AB	H	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2026	ARI	59	176	35	.199	.253	.318	.571
2025	ARI	44

00.3 / Last 12

Current performance across roughly four series · descriptive, not predictive.

Current performance · last 12 games · roughly four series

AVG

.231

RBI

XBH

Date	Opp	Game line

00.4 / Statcast card

Season percentile ranks vs. the qualified MLB pool · descriptive, not predictive.

Statcast season card · 2026 · Batting

Well-below-average offensive value.

Posterior percentiles vs. qualified MLB pool · Statcast window Apr 24 – Aug 7 · context only

Expected production

xwOBA

.260

xBA

.201

xSLG

.335

Contact quality

Barrel %

00.5 / Statcast form

Nightly Statcast trends · descriptive, not predictive.

Statcast form · Contact quality

Contact quality is trending cold.

Posterior Statcast graph · through 2026-08-08 · context only

xwOBA

.195

Baseline .289 · Δ -.094

Hard-hit rate

9.5%

Baseline 22.4% · Δ -12.9%

Recent window

vs 72 baseline batted balls

COLD · recent vs non-overlapping baselineAs of Aug 9, 2026

Statcast form — descriptive fan context from the point-in-time Statcast graph, not a betting recommendation. It does not move any Posterior probability.

01 / Pro decision context

Live prediction and price fields remain locked.

Preview mode

Browse the desk shell before subscribing. Premium values are redacted server-side, not merely blurred in the browser.

Unlock Posterior Pro Sign in

Season	Tm	G	GS	IP	ERA	WHIP	K/9	BB/9
2026	ARI	1	0	1.2	5.40	2.40	0.00	0.00
Career	1 yr	1	0	1.2	5.40	2.40	0.00	0.00

8/3	vs SD	1-for-3	0	0	0	0	0
8/2	@ CLE	0-for-1	0	0	0	0	0
7/31	@ CLE	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	2
7/27	@ PIT	0-for-3	0	0	0	0	0
7/26	@ WSH	1-for-3	0	0	0	0	0
7/24	@ WSH	0-for-3	0	0	0	0	3
7/23	@ STL	3-for-5	1	0	1	0	1
7/19	vs STL	2-for-3	1	0	0	1	0
7/4	vs MIL	1-for-3	1	1	3	0	1
7/1	vs SF	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	2
6/28	@ TB	1-for-3	0	0	0	0	0
6/27	@ TB	0-for-4	0	0	0	0	1

Adrian Del Castillo.