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A Bayesian almanac of the Major League season — hierarchical player-prop predictions, de-vigged against sharp consensus, calibrated nightly, and graded in public.

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§ Almanac · Not a Sportsbook

Posterior publishes baseball probability models, market observations, and historical performance data. Posterior is not a sportsbook, bookmaker, or gambling operator. We do not accept, place, transmit, or settle wagers. All probabilities, expected-value estimates, and confidence grades are model outputs, not guarantees of outcome.

Posterior is baseball data, not a wagering venue. If you choose to use third-party operators outside Posterior, follow your local rules and understand that betting involves risk of financial loss.

Need support? Contact ConnexOntario · 1-866-531-2600 (24/7, free, confidential), or National Council on Problem Gambling · 1-800-GAMBLER (US). Ontario users may opt out via BetGuard.

№ — · MMXXVI · © 2026 Posterior

Outputs are informational only · Not financial or gambling advice

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