POSTERIOR · WIRE
NewsSEAAug 26, 2026, 2:20 PM EDTSignal confidence 72%

Cal Raleigh's 2026 Collapse Is Historic Despite Recent HR Surge

After hitting 60 HRs in 2025, Raleigh has cratered well below projections in 2026, though a two-game hot streak offers a rare bright spot.

Posterior generated visual for Seattle Mariners: Cal Raleigh's 2026 Collapse Is Historic Despite Recent HR Surge

Cal Raleigh hit three home runs Monday and four over two games against the Phillies, but those performances are outliers in a dismal 2026 season. ZiPS projected a 131 wRC+ for Raleigh this year — already a 30-point regression from his 161 wRC+ in 2025 — but he has fallen 44 points short of even that reduced expectation. The Mariners remain below .500 but are still in playoff contention due to a weak division. Raleigh's decline is described as one of the most dramatic single-season collapses relative to prior performance in recent memory.

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