Arizona Diamondbacks logo

Diamondbacks.

The year-round intelligence desk for Arizona.

Window7 d14 d30 d60 d90 d· 3 official BETs released
01 / Record

The numbers, last window.

Official BETs
3
Executable
3
archive-backed
Resolved
3
Won
0
Lost
3
Win rate
0.0%
Brier (per-resolved): 0.4240Voided: 0
02 / Calibration

Model probability vs realised rate.

  • 0–20%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 20–30%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 30–40%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 40–50%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 50–60%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 60–70%n=3
    65.1%
    model
    0.0%
    realised
  • 70–80%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 80–90%n=0
    model
    realised
  • 90–100%n=0
    model
    realised

When the model says X%, the event happened Y% of the time. Closer the two columns sit, the better calibrated the model is at that confidence band.

03 / Players

By sample size.

PlayerOfficialResolvedWonWin rateBrier
Corbin Carroll1100%0.4313
Geraldo Perdomo1100%0.4385
Ryan Waldschmidt1100%0.4023