Angels.
The year-round intelligence desk for Los Angeles.
01 / Record
The numbers, last window.
Official BETs
5
Executable
5
archive-backed
Resolved
5
Won
2
Lost
3
Win rate
40.0%
Brier (per-resolved): 0.2953Voided: 0
02 / Calibration
Model probability vs realised rate.
- 0–20%n=0—model—realised
- 20–30%n=0—model—realised
- 30–40%n=0—model—realised
- 40–50%n=0—model—realised
- 50–60%n=0—model—realised
- 60–70%n=563.0%model40.0%realised
- 70–80%n=0—model—realised
- 80–90%n=0—model—realised
- 90–100%n=0—model—realised
When the model says X%, the event happened Y% of the time. Closer the two columns sit, the better calibrated the model is at that confidence band.
03 / Players
By sample size.
| Player | Official | Resolved | Won | Win rate | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 0.2606 |
| Zach Neto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.4056 |
| Moisés Ballesteros | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 0.1444 |